Probabilistic Graphical Models refers to concise representations of probability distributions using graphs. It also studies efficient algorithms for sampling distributions represented in such form. Sampling might need to be done from the joint probability distribution, the marginals or even conditional distributions. Other algorithmic questions involve computing the Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE), Maximum Aposteriori Estimate (MAP) etc. This topic has deep connections and applications to various fields including Theoretical Computer Science, Machine Learning, Statistical Physics, Bioinformatics etc. We will also be covering analysis of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Algorithms.
Broadly the course will cover four modules
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Lec 1-2: Probability Recap.
sub Prove that any DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) with finite number of vertices, has atleast one vertex with no incoming edges (ie. pointed towards it). Also show that there is atleast one vertex with no outgoing edges.
[Hint] Note that there are infinite graphs where the statement is not true. Hence you need to use the fact that the graph has only finite number of nodes in the proof.
Lec 3: Belief Networks I. Free parameters in distributions | Conditional Independence reduces parameters | Graph Representation | d-Connectivity and Independence
Lec 4: Belief Networks II. d-Connectivity | I-maps | Minimal and Perfect Imaps
Lec 5: Markov Networks I.
Lec 6: Markov Networks II.
Lec 7: Inference I : Variable Elimination and Message Passing
Lec 8-9: Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampling
Lec 10: Tutorial - I
Lec 11: Probability Basics of Sampling: Tail Bounds
Lec 12: Amplification and Ising Model
Lec 13: Intro to Learning Theory
Lec 14: Agnostic PAC Learning
Tutorial II on PAC Learning
Lec 15: VC Dimension I
Lec 16: VC Dimension II - Sauer-Shellah-Peres Lemma
Lec 17: Recap & Learning Conjunctions
Lec 18: No Free Lunch Theorem
Lec 19: Learning Graphical Models
[DB] Bayesian Reasoning and Machine Learning. David Barber
[KE] Probabilistic Graphical Models, Course Notes. Volodymyr Kuleshov and Stefano Ermon
[MMSM] Handbook of Graphical Models Marloes Maathuis, Mathias Drton, Steven Lauritzen, Martin Wainwright
[KF] Probabilistic Graphical Models: Principles and Techniques. Daphne Koller and Nir Friedman, MIT Press (2009).
[EX] Probabilistic Graphical Models Eric Xing
[KM] Machine Learning: a Probabilistic Perspective by Kevin Patrick Murphy
[WJ] Graphical Models, Exponential Families, and Variational Inference Martin J. Wainwright and Michael I. Jordan
[MM] Information, Physics, and Computation Marc Mézard and Andrea Montanari